Alabama voters are not falling for the ‘very convenient’ sexual abuse allegations against Judge Roy Moore and recent polling shows that most think the WashPost is lying.
In a Breitbart Exclusive, two new polls demonstrate that Judge Roy Moore remains unaffected entirely by smears in the Washington Post against him.
His double-digit lead from before the WashPost hit piece last week remains intact.
Note that only 28% said this would have an effect, many of those being not the effect the WashPost was looking for.
One of the polls, which were both provided by the pollster to Breitbart News exclusively on Saturday evening, was conducted on Thursday morning before the publication of the Post piece that afternoon. The second one was conducted on Saturday evening. Together, they show Judge Moore’s lead over Democrat Doug Jones has been virtually unaffected since the Post story came out.
The first survey, which was conducted entirely before noon local time on Thursday, shows Moore leading Jones by 50 percent to 39.2 percent with 10.8 percent undecided. That survey of 1,354 likely voters in the upcoming Dec. 12 special election has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.
The second survey, conducted Saturday evening—two days after the Post piece hit, roiling Alabama’s political scene—shows Moore and Jones with about the exact same percentages as before. Moore’s position in this second poll is 49.8 percent—meaning he only dropped 0.2 percent since the story hit—and Jones has only picked up 0.4 percent to reach 39.6 percent total. The second survey, which polled 1,536 likely voters with a margin of error of 3.3 percent, has 10.5 percent as undecided.
“The polling between Thursday morning and Saturday showed far less movement than I originally expected,” pollster John Wahl told Breitbart News.
“The controversy surrounding the Washington Post article seems to have galvanized the support of both candidates, but not changed the actual percentages in a significant manner. The Moore campaign has already weathered a considerable amount of political attacks during this campaign season, and I expect most of his lightest support to have blown off during these attacks. His current support level is holding fairly steady.”
Wahl is a local Alabama pollster, based in the state, and is regarded for his accuracy in the state. The pollster’s firm, WT&S Consulting, did some work for Moore’s campaign in the primary and runoff—but these polls, Breitbart News has confirmed, were not commissioned by Moore’s campaign and were conducted independently. That said, WT&S Consulting nailed the runoff numbers accurately. Its last poll, the day before the runoff election, showed Moore crushing establishment-backed appointed Sen. Luther Strange 54.3 percent to 45.7 percent—an 8.6 percent gap. The final election results were 54.6 percent for Moore to 45.4 percent for Strange—or a 9.2 percent gap.
I have been more closely involved in Alabama politics than any other state besides Texas, even including California when I was a resident there.
Alabama is more conservative than Texas. Like Texas, Democrats in Alabama are not far-left, many being pro- God, Guns, and Life.
The more liberal Democrats get, the more they lose. Alabama Democrats have not broken 40% since 2000. It would take more than this to break that hurdle. They have lost by growing margins since 2000 on the whole.
Alabama grassroots conservatives are also VERY active. It’s front porch politics.
In my opinion, this does more damage to the left. Any loss in votes, will be compensated with motivation to win.
Alabamians are also very opposed to outside influences. Had a local paper broke this news, it might have done some damage. The fact that this came out of DC, not only limits in the trust factor, it is viewed as intrusion.
Alabama conservatives are also anti-Establishment. When Mitch and Co. started piling on Moore, they did nothing but energize the base.
All these items factor in to why the latest polling shows no effect from this. Any lost votes were made up with people on the fence, as shown in the latest Breitbart article.
As the accusers continue to pile up inconsistencies, as they have been, and as it is shown that the WashPost created this, the mother of one accuser has already verified that, this whole effort will backfire.
These polls come after reports from a number of news outlets, including a local ABC News affiliate, national NBC News, CNN, and others—have trouble finding anyone in Alabama who actually believes the Washington Post story.
Sign up to get alerts from Joe!