WASHINGTON – Real estate mogul Donald Trump is dominating polls and capturing headlines in the Republican presidential race, but rival Jeb Bush is still the favorite of traders in political prediction markets.
While Bush has been eclipsed by Trump in opinion polls, the former Florida governor is riding high with online traders who give him a 40 percent chance to capture the party’s presidential nomination, according to prediction market aggregator PredictWise.com.
PredictWise isn’t wise.
Bush is down to five percent in Iowa among likely caucus-goers.
The Monmouth survey is the third consecutive poll of Iowa to find Trump and Carson atop the field [tied at 23 percent]. The two men are also in first and second place nationally, according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls.
The survey shows the degree to which political outsiders and anti-establishment candidates are dominating in the early stages of the race for the Republican presidential nomination.
Former business executive Carly Fiorina is in third place in the poll with 10 percent support, followed by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) at 9 percent support.
Sixty-six percent of Iowa Republicans polled said the country needs a president from outside the government to bring a fresh perspective to Washington.
And Bush? Well, the Jeb! is sucking wind as people are passing him. He’s down to sixth place.
This is a huge problem not just for Bush, but for the Republican Establishment as a whole. Note to the Establishment, the base really hates you. Really.
Oh, and then there’s New Hampshire.
A new poll by Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows support for Jeb Bush has collapsed in the last few weeks. …
Only 38 percent of primary voters have a favorable opinion of Jeb Bush, with
41 percent having a negative one. Only 3 percent say he’s their first choice for the nomination, putting him in a tie for 8th place with that group, according to PPP’s release.
Fear not gentle reader, Jeb! is going nowhere but back to retirement in Florida.
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